Indian stock indices ended the week higher, breaking a five-week losing streak and the government bond yields jumped marginally on Friday but closed the week slightly lower.
The markets took the first quarter GDP data in their stride. India’s April-June GDP growth was at 7.8%, which is a sharp improvement from 6.1% in the January-March quarter.
In non-financial news, India successfully launched its solar mission during the week.
Indian Markets Last Week:
Stocks went up on Friday and ended the week higher, with Metal, IT, Auto, and Banks leading the way. This ended a five-week losing streak and came after data showed that the economy grew at its fastest rate in a year in the April-June quarter. Nifty 50 went up by 0.88% and Sensex went up by 0.77% for the week. In the five weeks since July 20, when they hit record highs, both had gone down.
Yields rose slightly on Friday as debt auctions increased supply, while market participants shrugged off GDP data that was mostly on expected lines. In the April-June quarter, India's GDP climbed 7.8% annually, up from 6.1% in the March quarter. Investors will keep an eye on Federal Reserve meet in September and would clarify the next steps.
The rupee ended Friday firmer, although off the day's high, as dollar demand from importers weighed on the local currency. Despite its gains on Friday, the rupee was down marginally in the week. Weak U.S. economic data that reduced the likelihood of more Fed rate hikes, the dollar index fell on Friday, bringing the week's loss to 0.54%.
Global Markets Last Week:
US stocks closed higher with the S&P 500 jumping 2.50%, Dow rose 1.43%, and Nasdaq rose 3.25% for the week. A rise in unemployment strengthened expectations of deferment in interest rate hikes this month. Streaming firm shares fell due to a Disney-Charter Communications fee dispute. The US Labour Department reported 3.8% unemployment in August and slower pay growth. Though July data was cut down to 157,000 jobs, nonfarm payrolls climbed more than predicted.
US treasury yields climbed on Friday, reversing earlier dips following a mixed August jobs report, as investors reduced positions ahead of the long holiday weekend. The bond market in the US will be closed on Monday for Labour Day. The non-farm payrolls report for August showed that the largest economy in the world added more jobs than predicted last month, but the unemployment rate went up and wage inflation went down a little.
The US dollar went up against the euro and the Japanese yen on Friday after the August jobs report showed that the job market was still strong, even though there were some signs that it was getting worse. During the week, the US dollar had gone back and forth.
Corporate Bonds
Secondary Market
Yields were stable across tenures last week due to a lack of fresh cues and partly because India's GDP growth rate of 7.8% for the April-June quarter met market participants' expectations. Trade was limited to shorter-term NCDs, with mutual funds actively dealing in the secondary market.
Outlook For This Week
Stocks may rise Monday on expectations that US Fed may not raise interest rates at its September meeting. There are also expectations that Fed may not hike rates again in the current interest rate cycle
Yields on government bonds are likely going to be little changed in the absence of big cues.
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